At Abundant IoT, we help businesses navigate these evolving markets, leveraging insights to optimize energy strategies and enhance sustainability initiatives. Together, let’s harness the power of innovation and growth for a brighter, more abundant future. Explore the latest trends shaping global energy markets in our comprehensive forecast for 2024 and 2025.
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Key Highlights
Natural Gas Storage and Prices:
Inventories ended winter 4% below average. Henry Hub prices forecast at $4.30/MMBtu in 2025 and $4.60/MMBtu in 2026 due to stronger heating demand and tighter supply.
Global Oil Production:
Brent crude fell 14% to $66/b after U.S. and China announced tariffs and OPEC+ advanced production increases. Market volatility is expected as traders react to geopolitical and policy changes.
Oil Prices:
Brent prices are projected at $68/b in 2025 and $61/b in 2026 due to higher inventories, production increases, and slower demand growth. Uncertainty from sanctions and geopolitics remains high.
U.S. Crude Oil Production:
We’ve reduced expected oil demand to 0.9 million b/d in 2025 and 1.0 million b/d in 2026. Trade uncertainty and economic risks are weighing on demand projections.
Global Oil Consumption:
Growth remains below pre-pandemic trends, with global consumption of liquid fuels increasing by 1.3 million b/d in 2025 and 1.1 million b/d in 2026, primarily driven by demand in Asia, particularly India.
U.S. Gasoline Prices:
Summer 2025 gasoline prices are forecast to average $3.10/gal—20 cents lower than previous estimates—making it the lowest inflation-adjusted summer average since 2020 due to falling crude prices.
Electricity Generation:
Hydropower generation expected to grow 7% in 2025 as drought conditions ease. Renewables continue to drive electricity generation growth across the U.S. energy mix.